Bitcoin: Area Metrics Steady, But Futures Indicate Possible Pullback
Bitcoin has dipped with more than 3% over the past week, but on-chain information suggests diverging belief between the area and futures markets. According to CryptoQuant analyst, the spot market remains relatively steady, while futures activity is flashing short-term care signals.
In the spot market:
- Retail participation and order sizes are presently neutral.
- Taker CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) reveals buyers remain dominant, showing underlying bullish control.
- Overall volume is cooling, indicating market stabilization rather than panic.
In the futures market:
- Retail activity is climbing, which can precede volatility.
- Retail-sized orders dominate, which frequently means weak-handed leverage positions– a common precursor to short-term corrections.
- Despite that, Taker CVD still favors buyers, suggesting bulls have not lost ground yet.
Echoing that cautious tone, another analyst from CryptoQuant highlighted a rare event: Bitcoin funding rates turned negative for the first time since BTC surpassed the $100K level. Historically, such dips in funding have been followed by sharp recoveries, making this area a “buy-the-dip” zone for contrarian traders.
The data paints a mixed landscape. Spot market metrics indicate strength and accumulation, while futures reveal rising speculative exposure– often a signal of vulnerability. The funding rate dip underscores rising concern, which historically has marked bottoming behavior rather than indicating exhaustion.
If futures volatility increases while spot demand holds, Bitcoin could be setting up for a short shakeout– followed by continuation.
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